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The chemical industry maintains a relatively high growth rate, and the fine chemical industry still has a large room for development
Time: 2019-04-26
At present, China has become the world's largest manufacturer of chemical products, and it is expected to maintain a relatively high growth rate in the future, and its influence will be further expanded. From the point of view of the development trend of the chemical industry, there is still much room for development in China's fine chemical industry. Fine chemical industry is a strategic focus of the current chemical industry development in various countries in the world, and it is also an important development direction for China's chemical industry. The prospects are still promising.
Development status of fine chemical enterprises
At present, most of the fine chemical enterprises in China are backward in equipment, the technology research and development cycle is too long, the research and development efforts are insufficient, the capital investment is insufficient, and a perfect innovation system has not been formed. There are very few practical fine chemicals, and the innovation is not high. No core competitiveness has been formed.
At the same time, the concentration of fine chemicals is very low, and most enterprises are scattered and difficult to produce high-level fine chemicals. The fine chemical industry should have been highly integrated with the development of information technology, but currently the domestic fine chemical industry is still in an awkward position to ensure survival, and has no time to consider informationization, which seriously restricts the healthy development of the fine chemical industry.
Moreover, most enterprises are "profit-oriented" and do not consider environmental pollution at all, causing a lot of waste of resources. The huge cost of handling "three wastes" has become a heavy economic burden on the fine chemical industry. It can be said that environmental pollution has not only become a huge challenge for human sustainable development, but also the biggest obstacle to the development of elaborate chemical industry.
Comparison of refinement rate between China and abroad (unit:%)
Source: Prospective Industry Research Institute "China Fine Chemical Industry Report"
Analysis of supply of fine chemical products
The “12th Five-Year Plan” issued by the state stated that by 2015, the domestic fine chemical self-sufficiency rate needs to reach more than 80%, and as far as the current fine chemical industry self-sufficiency rate is concerned, a large amount of capital and technology investment are still required. Due to technical and other reasons, domestic progress in the new field of fine chemicals and new chemical materials has lagged slightly. The self-sufficiency rate for fine chemicals in new domestic areas is 70% -75%, and the self-sufficiency rate for electronic chemicals and other fields is less than 50%. In terms of new chemical materials, the self-sufficiency rate in China is only 55% -60% between. In these high-tech fields, the more high-end and important products, the lower the domestic self-sufficiency rate.
Not only that, the structure of China's fine chemical products is not very reasonable. At present, domestic new chemical materials are mainly low-grade products, while medium and high-end products mainly rely on imports. For example, the price of imported polytetrafluoroethylene is about twice the price of exported polytetrafluoroethylene.
The new chemical materials produced in China are mainly general-purpose products, and there is a lack of special-purpose products for market segments. For example, among the four major categories of silicone materials (silicone rubber, silicone oil, silicone resin, and silane coupling agents), developed countries have There are 6-8 thousand specific varieties and brands, while there are only dozens of them in China.
Comparison of the number of fine chemical enterprises in China and the number of newly started projects from 2009 to 2015 (unit: unit, item)
Source: Prospective Industry Research Institute "China Fine Chemical Industry Report"
In addition, the market for some environmentally friendly products is still in the early stages of development. Because China has not yet imposed an environmental tax on non-biodegradable ordinary plastics. Compared with traditional plastics, degradable plastics have a higher cost of use, and the market for degradable plastics is still in the early stages of development. As a developing country, the ODS alternatives currently used in China are still mainly HCFCs that have less damage to the ozone layer. In the future, it is necessary to gradually replace it with HFC which has no destructive effect on the ozone layer.
Fine chemical industry outlook forecast
It is precisely because of the above-mentioned shortcomings that China's fine chemical industry has more development prospects in the future. As more and more multinational companies invest in and build factories in China, the continuous expansion of the scale and the introduction of advanced preparation technology will inevitably bring about a continuous increase in the supply of China's fine chemical market.
According to statistics, in 2015, the total industrial output value of China's fine chemical industry was about 37021 billion yuan, an increase of about 10% compared with 2014. According to the current development momentum, it is estimated that by 2021, the total industrial output value of the industry will reach about 5.9 trillion yuan, and the room for growth is still relatively large.
Forecast of the total industrial output value of the fine chemical industry in 2016-2021 (Unit: 100 million yuan)
Source: Prospective Industry Research Institute "China Fine Chemical Industry Report"
(Editor in charge: DF207)
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